Friday, July 11, 2008

GEWatcher- At Last...Spinoff strategy is accepted!

Since 2000, I have written several articles, my book The Secret to GE's Success, and numerous blogs suggesting to GE management that they could enhance shareholder value, maintain control over the GE Monogram and reduce complexity by creating "tracking stocks" and allowing GE stockholders to purchase parts of the company, as well as the whole company if they preferred.

These are some quotes from two of my articles in Chief Executive Magazine:

In March 2000 article entitled: "Succeeding a Legend" (note this article was writtend before Immelt was appointed and was addressed to all of the candidates for the job)

I wrote:

The first step in the evolution is to create at least three companies and establish tracking stocks:

1- TRADITIONAL GE. This would include the electrical, electro-mechanical and chemical based components of the company. Lighting, power systems, aircraft engine, and plastics would be part of this company. Its mission would be to continue to grow profitable sales and maintain strong positions, using the skills and resources of GE Capital as required. In essence, this is the continuation of the current strategies. There may be, however, some pruning required with Major Appliances as a disposition candidate.

2- GE FINANCIAL SERVICES. In essence, it is now a separate company and behaves like one. This company should aggressively but selectively continue to gain position and be the financial arm of the other components, which would enable GE to adapt to the dynamic changes in the industry. It may require the acquisition of or merger with a major financial services company.

3 GE TECHNOLOGY. This is the major change in the portfolio and Welch strategy. Jack elected not to be a major player in the information and communications, biotechnology and new IT-based markets. GE has made many acquisitions in the medical systems and communications area, but nothing real dramatic; most have been either line or market extensions. It has not really decided how to use NBC as a platform for the revolutions taking place in the information, communications and entertainment arenas. The new CEO must take decisive and major steps in these markets before it's too late. New ventures, creating new products and services and so on, all of which GE did before the Welch era.

By creating these three companies the new CEO would be able to focus each one and be positioned to participate in new markets. The tracking stocks are likely to increase overall stockholder value and reduce the need for debt. But most importantly, it would enable the company to clarify what it really is and develop the most appropriate management and teams to meet the unique needs of the three companies. Integration and communication need not suffer if they are managed.


In June, 2007 article entitled: Decision Time for Immelt and Buffett, I recommended:

Imagine if GE gives the investor an opportunity to invest in selective sectors of the company and not just in the total company portfolio. In this scenario, GE decides to offer stock in its key areas/sectors. For instance, it creates separate stock offerings in GE Healthcare, GE Infrastructure, GE Money, GE NBC/Universal, GE Commercial Financing and other key components of the company. These would replicate the current building blocks of the company. So investors could invest in either the total company or selective parts of the company. This is not unrealistic since many companies have done this and have been successful in doing so. Of course, this will require more evaluation.


· GE is major stockholder of new companies. The GE Corporation would continue. The company would only sell a part of the new companies and retain majority control over the businesses. I would recommend that GE retain 75 percent of the companies and sell the other 25 percent on the open market.


· GE would focus on maintaining GE traditional success factors. Under this new scenario, the GE corporate staff would be significantly reduced and focused on a few key areas. For instance, the company would continue to work on succession plans for the key management positions in the company and especially the next CEO. The corporate staff would monitor external changes and help the subsidiaries anticipate and respond to change, as well as change the portfolio as required. It would continue to have company wide training at all levels, take stands on political issues as needed and continue the strong financial, strategic and manpower networks that have contributed to its past success.


The anticipated results could be very positive to all of the key stakeholders. The stock should rise overall, the investor will have more options and the company will continue to retain its AAA rating and have a strong and deep bench.


Unfortunately, GE management ignored my recommendations, until July 10, 2008.

Because they have not been able to sell the appliance business, Immelt and team are now accepting the spin off idea as a viable strategic alternative. The only problem with "belated acceptance of the tracking stock/ spin off idea" is timing. Both the consumer and industrial products markets are now slow and negatively impacted by the global recession. The spin-off would have been more effective when everything was growing and not when they are declining.

However, as a GE stockholder and alumni, I am happy to see that the Immelt team is finally using its imagination to create stakeholder value. I believe that the employees of this new company will be better off being managed by their own experienced management and not by some foreign company that doesn't understand the culture and the "GE success factors".

In my book I cited five key elements to GE's success, one was Adaptability... which has enabled the company to adapt to change and this may be a sign that this trait is still alive in the GE management team.

Bill Rothschild, author of The Secret to GE's Success, now available in Chinese, Korean, Indonesian, Japanese, as well as many English versions.


1 Comments:

At August 12, 2008 9:10 AM , Blogger N. Venkatraman said...

Immelt now has to prove that he has been a worthy leader. The stock is languishing and a post-Welch strategy has not emerged as showing his imprint. It will be very interesting to see how long the Board continue with him at the helm given the value destruction of this venerable stock!

 

Post a Comment

<< Home